The top-ranked Miami Hurricanes (7-0, 5-0 ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3, 2-2 ACC) on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET from Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. Miami enters as a 14-point favorite with an over/under of 53.5 points, while the Hurricanes hold a 5-2 record against the spread this season compared to North Carolina's 4-3 mark.
Betting Odds and Model Projections
According to the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulated the matchup 10,000 times, the Under 53.5 points hits in 53% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread covers in over 60% of simulations. Miami is listed at -625 on the money line, with North Carolina at +455.
Team Strengths and Weaknesses
Miami boasts the nation's No. 11 scoring defense, allowing just 2.4 yards per rush and recording nine takeaways, matching the number of passing touchdowns allowed. North Carolina ranks 112th out of 138 FBS teams in total offense but has held back-to-back opponents under a 60% completion percentage. The Tar Heels also average the fourth-fewest penalties per game in college football.
Key Figures
North Carolina head coach Bill Belichick faces the No. 1 ranked team for the first time in his college career. Miami quarterback Darian Mensah, averaging over three passing touchdowns per game, is projected to be held under two passing scores by the SportsLine model.
