The NFL Week 8 schedule features all domestic matchups, with several potential postseason rematches including Ravens vs. Bills (-3), Vikings vs. Lions (-3.5), Chiefs vs. Broncos (+1.5), and Bears vs. Seahawks (-3). An advanced computer model that simulates every game 10,000 times has released its latest betting picks for the week.
Model Performance
The model has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception and entered Week 8 of the 2026 season on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
Top Predictions
One of the model's strongest picks is the Steelers (-3.5, 39) covering at home against the Browns. Pittsburgh has won 22 straight home games versus Cleveland dating back to 2004, is 3-0 against the spread at home this year, and has scored 30-plus points in back-to-back home games. The model projects Pittsburgh to cover well over 60% of the time.
Another key pick: the Rams (-6.5, 45.5) covering against the Chargers. Los Angeles has lost nine straight games dating to last season, with quarterback Justin Herbert throwing 12 turnovers against six touchdowns over that span. The Chargers are winless against the spread during the streak, while the Rams are 6-2 against the spread in non-conference games since 2025. The model shows Los Angeles covering in nearly 60% of simulations, with the over hitting 55% of the time.
Week 8 Odds Overview
Other notable lines include Bengals vs. Titans (+13.5), Jaguars vs. Colts (+10.5), and Rams vs. Chargers (+6.5). The Chargers are the only winless team against the spread this season, while every team has at least two ATS defeats. The model also projects six teams to win by double digits, offering potential value on alternate lines.
Full game-by-game spreads and totals are available from the model, which provides picks for every matchup on the Week 8 schedule.
