The Kansas City Chiefs, coming off their first loss of the season, travel to face the Denver Broncos in an NFL Week 8 rematch of their Week 1 meeting. Kansas City remains atop the AFC West, while Denver has won three straight and five of its last six games since that opening defeat.
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Chiefs are favored by 1.5 points. The money line lists Kansas City at -112 and Denver at -108, with an over/under of 41.5 points (both sides -110).
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, entered Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. The model favors the under on 41.5 points, with the under hitting in 55% of simulations. It also gives Denver a 50% win probability on the money line at even-money odds.
Kansas City's offense has struggled recently, failing to score a touchdown and failing to snap the ball in the red zone against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 7 — the first time under quarterback Patrick Mahomes that the Chiefs did not reach the red zone. Mahomes has completed less than 60% of his passes in three games and has not thrown a touchdown pass in his last two outings.
Denver's defense has allowed just 15.7 points per game over its last three contests, and quarterback Bo Nix has gone four straight games without an interception. One of the Broncos' recent wins came against the Seahawks in overtime.
