The Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) aim to end a five-game losing streak against the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) in an NFC East matchup on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland.
Both teams face significant injuries. Washington receiver Terry McLaurin is out for the season with a knee injury, while Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is sidelined for the year due to blood clots. Philadelphia receivers DeVonta Smith (hamstring) and Dontayvion Wicks (ankle) have also been ruled out.
The latest odds list Washington as a 6-point favorite, with an over/under of 40.5 points. The money line has the Commanders at -260 and the Eagles at +225.
A proven simulation model that runs 10,000 simulations per game projects the over 40.5 points, with the over hitting in 54% of simulations and a projected 43 combined points. The over has hit in eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 46 points in their last matchup on September 13. It has also hit in five of the last nine Eagles games and eight of the last 10 Commanders games.
Philadelphia's offense relies on running back Saquon Barkley, who has 43 carries for 244 yards and one touchdown in five games despite a recent back issue. Washington's attack is led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, who in four starts has completed 64.7% of his passes for 759 yards, five touchdowns, and no interceptions, while adding 25 rushes for 213 yards and two touchdowns.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations.
