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Today's Matches

Ball State vs. UMass: MAC Matchup Preview, Odds, and Model Predictions

Ball State vs. UMass: MAC Matchup Preview, Odds, and Model Predictions
Today's Matches · 06:35:23 - Saturday, 7 November 2026

Ball State Cardinals visit Massachusetts Minutemen in a Mid-American Conference matchup on Wednesday night at Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Hadley, Massachusetts. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET.

The Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC) enter after a 34-17 win over Sacramento State on October 24, while the Minutemen (4-4, 1-3 MAC) lost 35-16 at Connecticut on October 23. Ball State is 1-4 on the road this season; UMass is 2-2 at home.

Odds and Predictions

UMass is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5 points. The money line has UMass at -113 and Ball State at +118. The SportsLine Projection Model, after 10,000 simulations, leans toward the Over 48.5 points, which has hit in eight of the last 10 Ball State games. The model projects 52 combined points, with the Over hitting 57% of the time.

Quarterback Projections

Ball State quarterback Keldric Luster is projected to throw for over 200 yards and one touchdown; he has 1,300 yards and nine touchdowns this season. UMass quarterback William Watson III is projected to throw for over 225 yards and two touchdowns; he has 1,025 yards and eight touchdowns.

The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. Detailed spread and money-line picks are available via SportsLine.

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