The Toledo Rockets (6-2, 3-1 MAC) face the Sacramento State Hornets (2-7, 1-5 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference matchup Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET at Hornet Stadium in Sacramento, California. The game will air on CBS Sports Network.
Toledo enters on a 45-38 win over Western Michigan on Oct. 24, while Sacramento State defeated Kent State 31-10 on Friday. The Rockets are 2-1 on the road; the Hornets are 2-3 at home in 2026.
Oddsmakers list Toledo as a 25-point favorite with an over/under of 52.5 points. The money line has Toledo at -2857 and Sacramento State at +1550.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each FBS game 10,000 times and entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks, projects the Under 52.5 as the value side, hitting 53% of simulations. The Under has cashed in two of Toledo's last three games and in six of Sacramento State's last nine.
The model forecasts Toledo quarterback John Alan Richter to throw for over 260 yards and two touchdowns; he has 2,244 yards and 17 touchdowns this season. For Sacramento State, running back Isaiah Ene is projected to rush for more than 50 yards and a touchdown; he has 410 yards on 77 carries (5.3 avg) with three scores.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 70% of simulations. Detailed spread and money-line picks are available at SportsLine.
