Canelo Alvarez and Christian Mbilli will meet for the WBC super middleweight title in a scheduled 12-round main event on Saturday. The main card begins at 1 p.m. ET from Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and will be streamed on DAZN pay-per-view.
Fight Details
Alvarez (63-3-2) aims to regain the WBC super middleweight belt he lost via unanimous decision to Terence Crawford on September 13, 2025. Mbilli (29-0-1) captured the WBC interim super middleweight title in June 2025 with a first-round knockout of Maciej Sulecki and retained it with a split-decision draw against Lester Martinez on the same September date.
Betting Odds
Alvarez enters as a -320 favorite (wager $320 to win $100), while Mbilli is priced at +230 (wager $100 to win $230). The over/under for total rounds finished is set at 10.5 (-475/+300). The favored method of victory is Alvarez by KO/TKO/DQ at +350.
Expert Picks
SportsLine boxing analyst Josh Nagel, who reported a profitable 2025 campaign, is backing Under 11.5 total rounds at +250. Nagel notes that four of Mbilli's last six fights ended in six rounds or fewer, and Alvarez has 39 career stoppage wins. Additional money-line and method-of-victory props are available through his analysis.
Fighter Profiles
Alvarez, 36, turned professional in October 2005 and has 39 knockout victories among his 63 wins. His only losses came against Floyd Mayweather Jr. (2013), Dmitry Bivol (2022), and Crawford (2025). Mbilli, 31, debuted in February 2017 and remains undefeated with 24 knockouts. He has held multiple regional titles before earning the WBC interim championship.
