Buffalo Bulls (5-3, 3-1 MAC) face Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (5-3, 3-1 MAC) in a key Mid-American Conference matchup Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio. Both teams are tied for third in the conference.
Buffalo enters on a 31-24 win over Bowling Green on Oct. 24, while Miami beat Central Michigan 28-27 the same day. The RedHawks have won three straight and are 3-1 at home in 2026; the Bulls are 1-2 on the road.
Odds list Miami as 6-point favorites with an over/under of 44.5 points. Money line: Miami -225, Buffalo +190. Against the spread, Miami is 4-4 and Buffalo 3-5.
The SportsLine Projection Model, after 10,000 simulations, leans toward the over 44.5 points, which has hit in six of the last 10 head-to-head meetings and in six of the last 10 games for each team. Miami averages 27 points per game (third in MAC), Buffalo 22.6 (sixth). The model projects 50 combined points.
Quarterback projections: Buffalo's Jason Wright (987 yards, 7 TDs season) expected to throw for over 175 yards and a touchdown; Miami's Caleb Heavner projected for over 215 yards and two scores. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations.
The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
