Texas Tech continues its push for a berth in the Big 12 Championship game when it hosts West Virginia on Saturday at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Red Raiders are 4-1 in conference play and ranked No. 15 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings, while the Mountaineers enter on a two-game winning streak.
Prediction market Polymarket lists Texas Tech as an 85% favorite to win, with West Virginia at 16%. The market gives a 44% probability that Texas Tech wins by more than 17.5 points, and a 49% chance that the teams combine for more than 66.5 points.
Red Raiders quarterback Thomas Castellanos earned the start last week against Arizona and led a 34-26 victory; he will remain under center against West Virginia. The Mountaineers rank 12th nationally in offensive yards per game (468.1) but have allowed the second-most yards per game on defense (483.9).
The SportsLine Projection Model sets a 65.5-point baseline for the game and projects the total to stay under in 65% of its simulations. Polymarket notes that prediction markets are regulated by the CFTC and include risk management tools such as trading breaks and funding limits.
