The top-ranked Miami Hurricanes (8-0) will visit the No. 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-1) on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Notre Dame Stadium in a game with significant College Football Playoff implications. Miami enters the matchup unbeaten in Power 4 play and 4-0 on the road this season, while Notre Dame is 3-0 at home but 0-1 against ranked opponents.
Injury Update
Miami wide receiver Malachi Toney will miss the game due to an ankle injury, a factor that has influenced the betting line throughout the week.
Latest Odds
Notre Dame opened as a 5.5-point favorite and has moved to -7, with the over/under set at 54.5 points. The money line lists Notre Dame at -278 and Miami at +235.
Model Predictions
A projection model simulating the game 10,000 times favors the under on the total points, citing the under hitting in three of the last five head-to-head meetings and in Notre Dame's most recent game. Notre Dame's defense allows 13.4 points per game (tied for fifth nationally), while Miami allows 17.8 points per game (21st). The model projects 51 combined points, with the under holding value 58% of the time.
Quarterback Projections
Miami quarterback Darian Mensah is projected to throw for over 260 yards and two touchdowns; he has 2,425 yards and 25 touchdowns with one interception this season. Notre Dame quarterback C.J. Carr is projected for nearly 250 yards and two touchdowns, with 1,849 yards and 18 touchdowns against one interception on the year.
