Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders aim to extend their winning streak to three games when they host the Kennesaw State Owls in a Conference USA matchup Wednesday night at Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET.
Team Records and Form
The Owls enter the game with a 1-6 overall record and 0-3 in conference play, having lost six consecutive games, including a 34-6 defeat to Liberty in Week 8. Kennesaw State is winless on the road this season at 0-3 and sits tied for ninth in the Conference USA standings.
The Blue Raiders are 4-3 overall and 2-1 in conference, winners of two straight after a 26-23 victory over Florida International. Middle Tennessee is unbeaten at home this season at 3-0 and sits tied for third in the league.
Betting Odds
Kennesaw State is listed as a 1.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 49.5 points. The money line has the Owls at -111 and the Blue Raiders at -106.
Model Projections
A projection model that simulates each FBS game 10,000 times favors the over on the total points, with the combined score projected at 55 points. The model indicates the over hits in 59% of simulations. Middle Tennessee's last three games have all cleared the total.
The model projects Kennesaw State quarterback Rickie Collins to throw for nearly 250 yards and two touchdowns, while Middle Tennessee quarterback Roman Gagliano is projected to throw for around 230 yards and one touchdown. Both teams are simulated to score nearly 30 points each.
Additionally, the model suggests one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. The model entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $400 for $100 players.
