CBS Sports' Week 9 NFL picks highlight five lock selections after a 3-2 against-the-spread performance in Week 8. The analyst enters Week 9 with a 20-19-1 record on locks and 53-65-3 overall ATS. Tennessee and Pittsburgh are on bye.
Buccaneers at Bears (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Chicago, riding a three-game win streak and 3-1 ATS at home, hosts Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers' passing attack has completed just 7 of 14 attempts for 64 yards over their last two games. With Jeffery Simmons debuting strongly on defense and Caleb Williams leading the offense, the Bears are projected to win 28-20. Pick: Bears -6.5.
Packers at Patriots (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Green Bay's defense has allowed only 14.6 points per game over the last five contests, ranking third in the NFL. Jordan Love leads the league in passing yards and 20-plus air-yard completions. New England's Drake Maye leads the NFL in total yards and touchdowns from Weeks 4-8, but the Packers are favored to cover. Projected score: Packers 23, Patriots 21. Pick: Packers +3.
Rams at Commanders (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Jayden Daniels posted a 17.2% off-target rate in Week 8, the third-highest of his career. Washington is 0-5 following a win since last season with a -9.0 points-per-game differential. Los Angeles' defense allows 301.1 total yards per game (fifth in NFL). Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua are expected to exploit a Commanders secondary yielding a 100.6 passer rating (25th). Projected score: Rams 27, Commanders 21. Pick: Rams -5.5.
Cowboys at Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Indianapolis has lost 2-13 over its last 15 games and allows 27.8 points per game (third-highest). Daniel Jones owns a 68.7 passer rating (worst in NFL) and is 3-10 as a starter since Week 9 last year with 13 touchdowns and 20 turnovers. Jonathan Taylor's snap share has dropped to 62.3%. Dallas is projected to win 30-17. Pick: Cowboys -6.
Bills at Vikings (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Minnesota suffered its first loss in Week 8, with offense averaging 279.4 total yards (fourth-lowest) and 20 points per game (sixth-lowest). Buffalo leads the league with 33.3 points per game and scores touchdowns on 70% of red-zone trips (fifth-highest). The Vikings' defense held Detroit to 19 points, but Buffalo's efficiency is expected to prevail. Projected score: Bills 24, Vikings 17. Pick: Bills -3.5.
Other notable picks include Jaguars -9.5 over Ravens, Falcons +3 vs. Bengals in Madrid, Chiefs -9.5 vs. Jets, Lions -7 vs. Dolphins, Saints -2.5 vs. Browns, Giants -3.5 vs. Eagles, Panthers +3 vs. Broncos, Chargers +4.5 vs. Texans, Raiders +10 vs. 49ers, and Seahawks -10.5 vs. Cardinals.
