The Denver Nuggets will face the Indiana Pacers in the 2026 NBA Mexico City Game on Saturday at Arena CDMX, marking the 16th NBA regular-season contest held in Mexico and the only one scheduled for the 2026-27 campaign. Tipoff is set for 5 p.m. ET.
Denver enters with a 4-3 record, while Indiana sits at 3-6. The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton due to a hamstring injury, while T.J. McConnell (hamstring) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (calf) are listed as questionable.
Sportsbooks list the Nuggets as 7.5-point favorites with an over/under of 228.5 points. The money line has Denver at -268 and Indiana at +230.
According to the SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated the matchup 10,000 times, the over on the total points is the recommended play. The model projects 238 combined points, with the over hitting in 62% of simulations. Denver averages 115.4 points per game and has gone over the total in four of seven outings this season, including two of its last three.
Indiana's offense has been less prolific, but the Pacers arrive with momentum after upsetting the Memphis Grizzlies on the road in their previous game. The two teams averaged 236 combined points in their two head-to-head meetings last season.
Individual projections from the model show Nikola Jokic leading Denver with 26.1 points, followed by Jamal Murray at 22.8. For Indiana, Pascal Siakam is projected to score 21.9 points.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. The game will be available for streaming on Fubo.
