The Kentucky Wildcats, ranked No. 6 in the College Football Playoff and 7-1 overall, visit the No. 13 Tennessee Volunteers (6-2) on Saturday at 6:15 p.m. ET in Knoxville. Tennessee is a 6-point home favorite at DraftKings with an over/under of 49.5.
Kentucky has won six straight since a loss to Alabama, with victories over ranked Texas A&M and LSU. Quarterback Kenny Minchey has completed 69% of passes for 1,755 yards, 14 touchdowns and one interception, while running backs CJ Baxter (487 yards, 8 TDs), Jason Patterson (443 yards, 3 TDs) and Jovantae Barnes (224 yards, 1 TD) each average over 5 yards per carry.
Tennessee's offense relies heavily on the run, averaging 213 rushing yards per game, led by DeSean Bishop (957 yards, 11 TDs) and Daune Morris (349 yards, 2 TDs). Quarterback George MacIntyre has thrown two touchdowns and five interceptions in four starts; Faizon Brandon has accounted for 10 touchdowns but has been sacked 15 times.
Defensively, Tennessee leads FBS with 35 sacks (Tyree Weathersby 7, Xavier Gilliam 6, Mariyon Dye 5) and ranks fourth in the SEC in yards allowed (288.4 ypg). Kentucky has a plus-13 turnover margin (fourth nationally) and has covered the spread in every game except the Alabama loss.
The SportsLine Projection Model gives Tennessee a 67% win probability and a 53% cover rate, but its top play is Under 50.5 (grade B, 59.8% hit rate). The model projects a 27-19 final score. Expert Eric Cohen also backs the Under, predicting a 20-14 Tennessee win.
