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Today's Matches

Florida Gators Favored Over Florida State Seminoles in Tuesday College Basketball Matchup

Florida Gators Favored Over Florida State Seminoles in Tuesday College Basketball Matchup
Today's Matches · 06:06:16 - Saturday, 14 November 2026

Top-ranked Florida Gators (2-0) travel to face the Florida State Seminoles (2-0) in an in-state rivalry game on Tuesday at 6 p.m. ET at the Tucker Center in Tallahassee.

The Gators have opened the season with wins over Miami and Jacksonville, while the Seminoles have defeated Florida A&M and Troy. The matchup features a compelling frontcourt battle with Florida's Thomas Haugh, Alex Condon, and Rueben Chinyelu against FSU's Alex Steen and freshman Marcis Ponder.

Florida enters as an 8.5-point road favorite with an over/under set at 164.5 points. The money line lists Florida at -417 and Florida State at +380.

A projection model simulating the game 10,000 times predicts the total will go under 164.5 points, projecting 159 combined points. The model notes both of Florida's games have gone under the total, and none of the past five meetings between the teams have produced more than 161 points. The under hits in 70% of simulations.

The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations, with further details on the spread pick available through the model's projections.

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