The New York Giants aim to extend their lead in the NFC East when they host the Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET.
The Commanders (2-5-1) enter the game after a 20-13 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, while the Giants (5-2-1) secured a 19-11 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles. New York is 3-1 at home this season and 3-2-1 in conference play. Washington is 0-3 on the road.
Injury updates: Giants quarterback J.J. McCarthy (hip) and running back Cam Skattebo (hamstring) were full participants at practice on Tuesday after being limited Monday.
Historical context: Washington is 4-0-1 over the last five meetings. The latest odds have New York as a 1.5-point favorite, with an over/under of 40.5 points, down from an opening 44.5. The under has a 7-2 record in the last nine meetings in New York.
Betting model predictions: A proven model simulating the game 10,000 times projects the over 40.5 points, with the over hitting in 66% of simulations. The over has hit in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, six of the last 10 Washington games, and seven of the last 10 New York games. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations.
Quarterback stats: Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels has completed 63.9% of his passes for 1,250 yards and seven touchdowns with zero interceptions in six starts, while also leading the team in rushing with 31 carries for 252 yards (8.1 average) and two touchdowns. Giants quarterback J.J. McCarthy, acquired via trade earlier this season, has completed 63.2% of his passes for 622 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in four games, adding nine carries for 51 yards.
Money line: Giants -125, Commanders +105.
