The New England Patriots suffered a 45-27 upset loss to the Green Bay Packers in Week 9 despite entering as 3-point favorites. With four teams on bye, Week 10 features only 14 games. Among the widest spreads, the Jacksonville Jaguars are favored by 10.5 points over the Tennessee Titans, having won seven of the past eight meetings, while the Los Angeles Rams are 9.5-point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals, though they will be without Puka Nacua and Davante Adams due to injuries.
Packers vs. Vikings Showdown
The 6-3 Packers are 3-point favorites against the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Green Bay already lost to Minnesota 39-22 on Sept. 13, and the Vikings have won four of the last five meetings. The Packers will miss running back Josh Jacobs (finger), while quarterback Jordan Love has completed 63% of his passes for 2,618 yards, 19 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Top targets Christian Watson (49 receptions, 879 yards, 7 TDs) and Matthew Golden (53 catches, 783 yards, 5 TDs) lead the receiving corps. Minnesota's Justin Jefferson, with six consecutive 1,000-yard seasons, benefits from the return of quarterback Kirk Cousins, acquired from the Raiders before the trade deadline; Cousins currently ranks second in the league with 20 passing touchdowns.
An advanced projection model, which has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception and holds a 62-52 record on such picks dating back to 2024, has identified a surprising team that wins outright in well over 80% of simulations for Week 10 survivor pools.
