The NBA features a 12-game schedule on Wednesday, Oct. 28, highlighted by a nationally televised doubleheader: the Philadelphia 76ers visit the Indiana Pacers, and the Dallas Mavericks host the Oklahoma City Thunder. Sports betting analysts are focusing on player prop bets, with the SportsLine Projection Model simulating each game 10,000 times to identify value.
Model Performance
The SportsLine model has returned nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks since 2018, including five consecutive seasons of four-digit profit. Entering Week 2 of the 2026-27 season, the model is on a 26-10 (72%) run on top-rated spread picks.
Top Player Prop Bets
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
LeBron James Over 30.5 points + rebounds + assists (-117) vs. Pacers: The NBA's all-time leading scorer has exceeded this line in two of his four games with the 76ers. James may have increased offensive freedom with Ivica Zubac listed as out for the Pacers, while Tyrese Haliburton and Andrew Nembhard are questionable. The SportsLine model projects James for 36.1 PRA on Wednesday.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 42.5 points + rebounds + assists (-117) vs. Mavericks: The two-time reigning MVP faces a heavy workload with Oklahoma City missing Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, and Thomas Sorber due to injury. The model projects Gilgeous-Alexander for 59.7 PRA.
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