The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Tampa Bay Rays tonight for World Series Game 5, with the first pitch scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on FOX. The contest may be the last Major League Baseball action for months, as owners are expected to lock out players on December 1. The Brewers are seeking their first championship, while the Rays play their final home game of the series; a potential off day Thursday would precede a return to Milwaukee if a Game 6 is necessary.
Game 4 Recap and Series Context
In Game 4, the Brewers entered the bottom of the 12th inning leading 3-2, but the Rays staged a walk-off rally for a 4-3 victory. Tampa Bay joined the 1910 Chicago Cubs as the only teams to deliver a walk-off World Series win while facing a sweep. The series extends the record streak of World Series without a sweep to 14, the longest in MLB history. This is only the fifth Fall Classic to reach at least five games after one team held a 3-0 lead, and the Rays aim to become the first team in that scenario to force a Game 6. Through the playoffs, teams scoring first are 26-13 and teams outhomering opponents are 22-5.
Most-Wagered Player Props
Sportsbooks report heavy action on five player props for Game 5. Brewers starter Jacob Misiorowski's over 5.5 strikeouts is priced at -273. Misiorowski has not exceeded 5.1 innings since September 8 but has recorded at least five strikeouts in four of his last six starts, though he fell short in Game 1 against Tampa Bay. The Rays managed only three strikeouts in five innings in that opener. Projection models estimate Misiorowski at 5.8 innings and 7.5 strikeouts.
Jackson Chourio's over 0.5 hits carries a -295 line. Chourio, the World Series MVP favorite at -110, is batting .500 (10-for-20) with two doubles, two RBI, four runs scored, and three steals. His 10 hits through four games tie Babe Ruth's 1928 World Series record, and he has collected at least two hits in each contest.
Yandy Diaz's over 0.5 hits is offered at -265. Diaz, the Rays' shortest MVP odds at +4000, struggled in the first two games but has improved since the series moved to Tropicana Field, now batting .176 (3-for-17) with one double and one RBI. He is 1-for-5 with a home run against Misiorowski in regular-season play.
Chandler Simpson's over 0.5 hits is listed at -190. Simpson is hitting .375 (6-for-16) with a double, two RBI, two runs, and two steals, including a key single in the 12th-inning rally of Game 3.
Taylor Walls' under 0.5 hits is priced at -132. Walls is 0-for-9 with six strikeouts in the series and 0-for-2 in his career against Misiorowski. The Rays may pinch-hit for the shortstop if they trail and need offense.
