The Tennessee Volunteers welcome the Kentucky Wildcats to Neyland Stadium in Knoxville for a Week 10 SEC showdown with significant College Football Playoff implications. Kentucky enters at 7-1 overall and 5-1 in conference play, ranked No. 6 in the initial CFP rankings, while Tennessee sits at 6-2 overall and 3-2 in the SEC, ranked No. 13.
Historically, Tennessee has dominated the series with an 85-26-9 head-to-head record, but this Kentucky squad is considered one of the strongest to visit Knoxville in recent years. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:15 p.m. ET, and the Volunteers will wear their "dark mode" uniforms.
Betting markets list Tennessee as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 49.5 points. The money line has Tennessee at -205 and Kentucky at +184.
An advanced projection model simulating the game 10,000 times favors the under on the total, projecting 46 combined points. The under hits in 56% of simulations. Tennessee's defense ranks third in the SEC, allowing just 16.3 points per game, and the Volunteers are 6-2 to the under this season, with all three SEC home games finishing under by at least two touchdowns. Kentucky has also trended under in its last two games.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
