The Week 11 college football schedule opens with three Tuesday MACtion matchups, including the Kent State Golden Flashes visiting the Bowling Green Falcons. Kent State enters at 3-6 overall and 2-3 in the Mid-American Conference, having lost four of its last five games, most recently a 31-10 defeat to Sacramento State on October 30. Bowling Green sits at 2-7 overall and 2-3 in conference play, aiming to snap a three-game skid after a 23-10 loss to Western Michigan on Halloween. The Falcons hold a 62-25-6 advantage in the all-time series.
Game Details
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio. Bowling Green is a 4.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 43.5 points. The money line lists Bowling Green at -200 and Kent State at +173.
Model Predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, projects the total to go over 43.5 points. Both teams have trended toward the over this season, posting a combined 11-7 over record. The total has cleared in four of Bowling Green's last five games, and the last four meetings at Doyt Perry Stadium have averaged 57 combined points. Both defenses rank outside the top 100 nationally in scoring defense; Bowling Green allows the sixth-most rushing yards in the FBS, while Kent State surrenders a high completion percentage. The model projects the two quarterbacks to combine for 3.5 touchdowns on average, with the over hitting in 56% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time, though the specific side is available only through SportsLine.
