Seventh-ranked Texas Longhorns (6-2) visit No. 18 Missouri Tigers (6-2) in a potential College Football Playoff eliminator on Saturday at noon ET at Faurot Field in Columbia, Missouri. Both teams carry identical records, and a third loss would significantly damage either's playoff hopes.
Odds and Betting Lines
Texas opened as a 3-point favorite and is now listed at -2.5 with an over/under of 42.5 points. The money line has Texas at -135 and Missouri at +117.
Injury Report
Texas will be without running back Hollywood Smothers and offensive tackle Trevor Goosby. Edge rusher Colin Simmons and receiver Cam Coleman are questionable. Leading rusher Raleek Brown and leading receiver Ryan Wingo are probable.
Model Predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated the matchup 10,000 times, leans toward the over 42.5 points, projecting 47 combined points. The over hits in 62% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations, though the specific side is only available via SportsLine. The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
Key Statistics
Missouri's offense is balanced, led by quarterback Austin Simmons (1,952 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, 2 interceptions) and 1,000-yard rusher Jamal Roberts. Texas quarterback Arch Manning has thrown for 1,727 yards with 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions during a two-game winning streak. Texas allows 17.1 points per game, but Missouri has allowed at least 31 points in each of its three losses, while Texas has given up 27 points in three of its last four games.
